Sovereignty in the Age of AI: Strategic Choices, Structural Dependencies and the Long Game Ahead
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Publication Type:
Publisher:
Tony Blair Institute for Global Change
Publication:
January 2026
This paper examines how AI sovereignty is being redefined amid rapid technological change and intensifying geopolitical fragmentation.
As artificial intelligence (AI) transforms state operations, economies, scientific advancements, and international relations, countries need to establish a strategic agenda to strengthen AI sovereignty.
This paper examines how AI sovereignty is being redefined amid rapid technological change and intensifying geopolitical fragmentation. It provides an agenda for states to strengthen AI sovereignty through strategic positioning, deliberate interdependence, and effective technology governance.
Contents
- Foreword
- Executive Summary
- Chapter 1: Introduction: A New Architecture of Power
- Chapter 2: Understanding Sovereignty in the Age of AI
- Chapter 3: The Trade-Offs Shaping AI Sovereignty
- Chapter 4: A New Framework for Sovereign Posture: Control, Steer, Depend
- Chapter 5: From Trade-Offs to Strategy: Navigating Choices for Sovereignty in the Age of AI
- Chapter 6: Sovereignty in Practice: National Pathways Through the AI Stack
- Chapter 7: Policy Levers for Expanding Agency in the Age of AI
- Chapter 8: Conclusion: The Long Game of Strategic Resilience
- Annex: Detailed Cast-Study Postures
